PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnakeKiruaTrading0b1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (143–99, n=242)89% (212–26, n=238)
Consensus PnL—$22K$95K
Tracked asPM monthly #921was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #826
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=33Tennis −2 pts, n=107
Settled positions, side won—54% of 259 at avg 48¢, ROI +2%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 18% of 105)0%
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 34% of 29)1% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 74% of 42)4% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 96% of 83)96% (won 93% of 215)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.