PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0xheavy8880xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941Sisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)89% (48–6, n=54)95% (472–26, n=498)
Consensus PnL—$442K-$54K$465K
Tracked asPM monthly #921Hand-pickedHand-pickedPM monthly #144
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (61 of 92 open)93% (13 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%99% of 675 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)6% (won 8% of 12)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)3% (won 40% of 5)25% (won 98% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)9% (won 56% of 18)48% (won 99% of 324)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)82% (won 95% of 155)25% (won 100% of 170)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsneakysnake0xheavy8880xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941Sisyphus-
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27KYes $9.7K—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $13KNo $12K—
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.8KNo $7.8K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $3.2K—