← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scootergene | 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710 | tradecraft | wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (340–259, n=599) | 49% (1212–1266, n=2478) | 49% (1984–2074, n=4058) | 95% (1938–95, n=2033) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $60K | $914K | $36.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #74 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #271 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −6 pts, n=74 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 390 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8% | 57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 39% of 18) | 24% (won 19% of 254) | 31% (won 10% of 712) | 1% (won 100% of 24) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 77% of 135) | 23% (won 40% of 241) | 17% (won 46% of 401) | 41% (won 100% of 670) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 88% of 171) | 29% (won 70% of 304) | 18% (won 77% of 421) | 49% (won 100% of 805) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 98% of 66) | 24% (won 89% of 250) | 33% (won 96% of 761) | 9% (won 100% of 153) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.