PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sapocego23linethmachinelearnedtexaskid
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (215–220, n=435)65% (2219–1202, n=3421)66% (367–187, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$91K$35K$7.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #516PM monthly #835PM monthly #548was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (11 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic———College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 29% of 177)3% (won 64% of 42)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 72% of 58)6% (won 93% of 75)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 84% of 67)28% (won 100% of 360)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 94% of 127)63% (won 100% of 818)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.