PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sainttroplayRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)45% (501–606, n=1107)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$13.4M$12.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #11Hand-pickedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)72% (23 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 56% of 2460)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5335)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8653)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up0%31% (won 100% of 7361)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.