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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qizhan | LuckyWin | BreakTheBank | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 88% (741–103, n=844) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 53% (383–345, n=728) |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $30K | $9.6M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #370 | was PM monthly #579 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 73% (24 of 33 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | — | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 6 at avg 57¢, ROI +36% | 88% of 799 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 7% (won 7% of 54) | 11% (won 87% of 52) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 50% of 2) | 4% (won 42% of 33) | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 26% (won 68% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 33% of 3) | 6% (won 56% of 50) | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 69% (won 78% of 392) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 83% (won 99% of 662) | 21% (won 100% of 103) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qizhan | LuckyWin | BreakTheBank | texaskid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | No $37K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $838 | Yes $1 | — | — |