PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
puntobigbossbeachboy4CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market69% (43–19, n=62)63% (379–224, n=603)49% (823–849, n=1672)
Consensus PnL—$5.8M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #969was PM monthly #24PM monthly #88PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won97% of 66 at avg 60¢, ROI +37%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 784 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 91% of 35)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 94% of 16)29% (won 56% of 62)55% (won 99% of 209)41% (won 99% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 97% of 36)54% (won 52% of 114)34% (won 100% of 128)49% (won 99% of 383)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 100% of 14)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.