Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmscrapbook
Record (consensus markets)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)54% (156–133, n=289)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$9.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #51PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Economy −8 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)38% (won 13% of 127)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 405)18% (won 48% of 61)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 485)27% (won 66% of 89)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 46)16% (won 91% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.