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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| primm | Randomfool | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 98% (127–3, n=130) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $60K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #51 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (98 of 171 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tennis −1 pts, n=24 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 127 at avg 96¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 100% (won 98% of 127) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | Randomfool | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | South Florida $3.7K | — | East Carolina $3.5K |
| Spread: South Florida (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | South Florida $213 | — | East Carolina $3.9K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | Nebraska $2.0K | — | Illinois $367 |
| Spread: South Florida (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | South Florida $416 | — | East Carolina $1.6K |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | Under $798 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $508 | — | Over $1.4K |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | South Florida $262 | — | East Carolina $803 |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $381 | — | SMU $271 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | Virginia Tech $226 | — | SMU $79 |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | SMU $3.4K | — | SMU $698 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) same side · consensus Illinois | Nebraska $2.0K | — | Nebraska $7 |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $5 | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | SMU $3 | — | SMU $82 |