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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poshposh | jesterthegoose | NiNo999 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 80% (284–70, n=354) | 88% (488–65, n=553) | 47% (125–143, n=268) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $207K | $9.7M | $19.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #999 | was PM monthly #562 + pinned | was PM monthly #985 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −5 pts, n=12 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 14% (won 8% of 83) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 0% (won 0% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 39% of 28) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 42% (won 47% of 535) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 5% (won 65% of 31) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 57% (won 51% of 729) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 75% (won 97% of 437) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poshposh | jesterthegoose | NiNo999 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild vs. Canucks same side · consensus Wild | Wild $198 | — | — | Wild $48K |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | Wild $29 | — | — | Wild $29K |