PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (384–392, n=776)58% (472–338, n=810)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$293K$300K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #388was PM monthly #997was PM monthly #622PM monthly #128
Sides with the consensus29% (4 of 14 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
Weakest topic——Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 30% of 206)29% (won 34% of 177)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢—47% (won 65% of 334)12% (won 67% of 76)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 68% of 170)28% (won 90% of 172)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 95% of 190)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.