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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1sainttroplayxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)65% (888–469, n=1357)no settled market85% (1289–235, n=1524)
Consensus PnL$4.2M—$88K
Tracked asPM monthly #150—Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus74% (35 of 47 open)no open consensus position83% (43 of 52 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—81% of 1874 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)—13% (won 9% of 252)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)—5% (won 51% of 90)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)—6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)—76% (won 97% of 1423)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.