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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmRN1rrooster
Record (consensus markets)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #55PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #995
Sides with the consensus72% (108 of 149 open)no open consensus position63% (19 of 30 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147——MLB ±0 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%65% of 1998 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 15% of 126)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)23% (won 46% of 459)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)37% (won 64% of 749)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)33% (won 90% of 664)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmRN1rrooster
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Claire Liu $4.7KAlexandra Eala $347