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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RadioCCOD
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)39% (124–191, n=315)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #944
Sides with the consensus73% (56 of 77 open)82% (150 of 184 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=144Soccer −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 186)74% (won 23% of 190)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 267)10% (won 81% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 58% of 326)12% (won 94% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 619)4% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RadioCCOD
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.4MYes $712
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $357Yes $2