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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN1soared
Record (consensus markets)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.8M$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #243
Sides with the consensus74% (28 of 38 open)57% (62 of 108 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)—
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)—
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)—
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RN1soared
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $61K—Yes $75K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $94K—No $88K