← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | soared | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M | $15K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #217 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 53% (23 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | soared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $73K | — | — | Yes $76K |