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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | Newshound | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 57% (793–595, n=1388) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.4M | $40K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #910 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (106 of 151 open) | 35% (26 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 72% of 984 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 22% (won 24% of 221) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 13% (won 64% of 124) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 18% (won 76% of 174) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 47% (won 95% of 465) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | Newshound |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.0M | Yes $29 |