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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lovedudley | bredxiao | RN1 | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | no settled market | 49% (7263–7633, n=14896) | 92% (298–25, n=323) |
| Consensus PnL | — | — | $13.4M | $4.8K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #725 | PM monthly #955 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #491 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (85 of 147 open) | 36% (4 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 89% of 28 at avg 69¢, ROI +15% | 93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 93% of 80 at avg 53¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 51% of 2050) | 8% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 14% (won 75% of 4) | 22% (won 93% of 4398) | 16% (won 92% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 21% (won 83% of 6) | 37% (won 99% of 7331) | 74% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 61% (won 94% of 17) | 31% (won 100% of 6057) | 3% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lovedudley | bredxiao | RN1 | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.6K | Under $48 |
| Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $105 | Under $38 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | — | Giants $28 | Texans $92 |
| Spread: Bengals (-1.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bengals $515 | Bengals $45 |
| Spread: Jets (-4.5) same side · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $1 | Jets $46 |