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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lopezmartin | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 50% (15059–15076, n=30135) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.2M | $3.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #539 | PM monthly #145 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 58% (109 of 188 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 25% of 4) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 33% of 3) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 60% of 5) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 4) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lopezmartin | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Koray Kirci opposite sides · consensus Koray Kirci | Artur Kukasian $3.2K | — | Koray Kirci $1.2K | — |