PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lonmi25110xd14650532E11324cdaca20f45666486c24679Bf0-1758702953678dddtripsallen114
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (384–392, n=776)58% (472–338, n=810)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL—$293K$300K$155K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894was PM monthly #997was PM monthly #622was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 30% of 206)29% (won 34% of 177)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—47% (won 65% of 334)12% (won 67% of 76)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 68% of 170)28% (won 90% of 172)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 95% of 190)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.