PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
liriks0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710bredxiaoRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1269, n=2481)65% (20–11, n=31)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$60K$9.6K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #979Hand-pickedPM monthly #957Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position17% (2 of 12 open)no open consensus position60% (81 of 136 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +28 pts n=22, ROI +31%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%89% of 28 at avg 69¢, ROI +15%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)14% (won 75% of 4)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)21% (won 83% of 6)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)61% (won 94% of 17)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.