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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRN1yaokan
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)94% (134–8, n=142)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #990
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)60% (44 of 73 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 197 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)0%
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)0%
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)100% (won 99% of 197)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRN1yaokan
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $26KJaguars $19K—
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.0KOver $5.2K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302—
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $560Jaguars $174—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K—
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240—