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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677patoche99primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)100% (1–0, n=1)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #976PM monthly #47PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (7 of 10 open)61% (40 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)100% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)0%41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)0%50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677patoche99primmRN1
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.0KOver $6.4K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: UTSA (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.0KUTSA $967
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240