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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| joseph00677 | ndb1 | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 84% (1264–233, n=1497) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $72K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 84% (52 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Elections −5 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 81% of 1845 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 13% (won 9% of 249) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 5% (won 51% of 89) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 6% (won 56% of 108) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 76% (won 97% of 1399) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.0K | No $510 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.5K | Yes $1.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $943 | Yes $1.5K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5M | No $6.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $501K | Yes $1.5K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $239K | No $3.5K |