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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 69% (243–108, n=351) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.2M | $3.6M | $68K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #199 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (82 of 111 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (33 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 12% (won 23% of 39) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 11% (won 46% of 37) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 9% (won 67% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 68% (won 91% of 228) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $87K | — | No $3.4K |