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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | pizzabillgates | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 50% (3–3, n=6) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.2M | -$75K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #658 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (54 of 76 open) | 91% (31 of 34 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 50% (won 0% of 4) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 0% | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | pizzabillgates | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.7K | Yes $7.1K | — |