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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | WagerWizard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 96% (13352–599, n=13951) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned | PM monthly #897 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (27 of 37 open) | 58% (45 of 78 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 4% (won 73% of 240) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 9% (won 91% of 624) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 11% (won 97% of 755) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 76% (won 100% of 5156) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | WagerWizard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $46 | Yes $275 |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $19 | No $25 |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $4 | Yes $37 |