Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677MSKW22222primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)no settled market50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$53K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #645PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)50% (9 of 18 open)57% (45 of 79 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677MSKW22222primmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4.9KJaguars $3.7K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.0KOver $1.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $244
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $510Jaguars $180
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $42KFlorida Atlantic $20K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.2KRavens $765
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $94Ravens $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498