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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Lula20262026ndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)33% (1–2, n=3)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (15593–15689, n=31282)
Consensus PnL$5.3M-$52K$3.2M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #391PM monthly #92PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (52 of 74 open)54% (62 of 114 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)0%13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)100% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)0%24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)0%43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Lula20262026ndb1omnibus-076daa
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $11KYes $4