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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iammillionaire | MD14 | nigiri99 | Zzzz87 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 84% (21–4, n=25) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 68% (86–41, n=127) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $297K | $426K | $305K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #714 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #107 | was PM monthly #666 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 46% (31 of 68 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 20 at avg 73¢, ROI +22% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 0% of 1) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 10% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | 15% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 15% (won 100% of 3) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | 37% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 70% (won 100% of 14) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | 46% (won 100% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iammillionaire | MD14 | nigiri99 | Zzzz87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $99 | Mavericks $6.7K |