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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hell0piandb1primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (43–40, n=83)65% (901–484, n=1385)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$117K$4.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #822PM monthly #101PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)70% (106 of 151 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA −32 pts, n=10NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won60% of 117 at avg 57¢, ROI +7%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 29% of 21)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 50% of 14)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 63% of 43)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 77% of 39)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.