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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hedgevaultmainnet1HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)60% (6–4, n=10)55% (216–179, n=395)
Consensus PnL-$2.4K$290K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #813PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus56% (10 of 18 open)62% (84 of 135 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethedgevaultmainnet1HomeRunHazard
Hornets vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Hornets $3Suns $540
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $49Nuggets $5.0K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $58Thunder $4.6K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $1.3KPistons $1.2K