PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hammyandcheeseEgorkasxx0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140imnice
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (46–28, n=74)88% (35–5, n=40)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL—$22K$1.2M$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #736was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #77was PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +23 pts n=21, ROI +30%
  • NBA +9 pts n=161, ROI +13%
  • NFL +19 pts n=23, ROI +10%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=20, ROI +39%
  • Esports +16 pts n=26, ROI +26%
  • NHL +4 pts n=12, ROI +17%
Weakest topicMLB −27 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won60% of 508 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%76% of 63 at avg 61¢, ROI +22%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 36% of 11)5% (won 100% of 3)0%17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 46% of 149)29% (won 44% of 18)47% (won 100% of 15)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 65% of 303)30% (won 84% of 19)31% (won 100% of 10)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 84% of 45)37% (won 91% of 23)22% (won 100% of 7)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.