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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | rafaleaoo | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (202–169, n=371) | 55% (12–10, n=22) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $430K | $228K | $5.8K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #688 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (95 of 136 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 93% of 15 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 27% (won 75% of 4) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 9) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | rafaleaoo | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nuggets $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Colts (-3.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $114 | Colts $393 | — |