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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | WarriorPooh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–175, n=383) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $430K | $232K | $152K | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #641 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 71% (138 of 194 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | WarriorPooh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Bulls $64K | Spurs $7.7K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $22K | Under $43K | — | — |