PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gol702LackvilllinethSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (86–53, n=139)50% (214–217, n=431)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL—$4.5K$91K$466K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976was PM monthly #968PM monthly #835PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢0%20% (won 15% of 39)41% (won 29% of 177)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 53% of 38)14% (won 72% of 58)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)37% (won 68% of 73)16% (won 84% of 67)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up0%23% (won 91% of 45)30% (won 94% of 127)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.