← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gmpm2 | Imbleciar | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 42% (44–60, n=104) |
| Consensus PnL | $256K | — | $118K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #39 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (17 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −17 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 79% of 28 at avg 68¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 32% of 22) | 11% (won 33% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 45% of 163) | 14% (won 25% of 4) | 49% (won 100% of 338) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 57% of 244) | 29% (won 88% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 278) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 85% of 98) | 46% (won 100% of 13) | 9% (won 100% of 59) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gmpm2 | Imbleciar | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $215 | — | Over $559 |