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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ggnwRN1beachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)51% (244–234, n=478)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)68% (43–20, n=63)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$6.8K$14.8M$5.8M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #905PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (24 of 44 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −13 pts, n=24—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won51% of 460 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 15% of 66)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 41% of 135)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 63% of 231)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 89% of 28)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.