PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fxwd12345facaigegex6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4neymar1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (254–289, n=543)85% (236–41, n=277)47% (342–390, n=732)
Consensus PnL—-$20K$429K$473K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #465PM monthly #485was PM monthly #414
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)82% (58 of 71 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +43 pts n=210, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +44 pts n=10, ROI +43%
  • NBA +31 pts n=14, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 251 at avg 55¢, ROI +41%91% of 289 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%82% of 439 at avg 37¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 94% of 16)8% (won 0% of 22)32% (won 65% of 141)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 96% of 82)1% (won 50% of 4)46% (won 87% of 200)
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 97% of 105)2% (won 86% of 7)21% (won 96% of 94)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 48)89% (won 100% of 256)1% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.