PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (309–179, n=488)47% (428–479, n=907)49% (813–835, n=1648)
Consensus PnL—$7.8K$33K$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #543was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (7 of 12 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +42 pts n=33, ROI +40%
  • Esports +27 pts n=402, ROI +26%
  • NBA +17 pts n=115, ROI +18%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—96% of 315 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%71% of 629 at avg 46¢, ROI +24%99% of 740 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 70% of 20)12% (won 53% of 74)5% (won 93% of 40)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 91% of 32)42% (won 70% of 267)41% (won 99% of 305)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 98% of 102)44% (won 76% of 279)49% (won 99% of 363)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 99% of 161)1% (won 89% of 9)4% (won 100% of 32)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.