Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1verifly
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)34% (144–283, n=427)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$3.7M$14.9M-$380K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #40PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Esports −2 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)32% (won 21% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)55% (won 41% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1verifly
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius
Oleksii Krutykh $5—Oskari Paldanius $37K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—