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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)59% (1409–963, n=2372)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M-$28K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #789
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)70% (67 of 96 open)59% (16 of 27 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1whosay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Yannick Hanfmann $207—Yannick Hanfmann $885—