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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$4.6M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)71% (68 of 96 open)57% (16 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1weflyhigh
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Carboni $29—Alexandre Reco $83—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—