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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11761–15331, n=27092) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 48% (19574–21323, n=40897) | 34% (144–283, n=427) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M | -$380K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — | Esports −2 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 32% (won 21% of 131) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 55% (won 41% of 227) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | Adrian Andreev $14K | — | Adrian Andreev $2.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni | Lorenzo Carboni $26 | — | Lorenzo Carboni $349 | — |