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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1twe2nty
Record (consensus markets)35% (3648–6671, n=10319)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)74% (191–66, n=257)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.2M$14.8M-$9.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #431PM monthly #103PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #956
Sides with the consensus81% (13 of 16 open)72% (93 of 130 open)59% (17 of 29 open)76% (28 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)21% (won 4% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)5% (won 8% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)4% (won 60% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)70% (won 96% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1twe2nty
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $1.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Lorenzo Musetti $354—Luca Van Assche $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Over $360—