Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1notprofitabl
Record (consensus markets)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1101–635, n=1736)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.2M$4.6M$177K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #109was PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position70% (68 of 97 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)—
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.