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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
feeder-of-marketsFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (33–34, n=67)75% (9–3, n=12)
Consensus PnL—$35K$84K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #14PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)71% (178 of 252 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won80% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 60% of 5)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 67% of 3)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢0%14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 7)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.