PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fbett89e4ygf6PatienceCapitalRockyZet
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)47% (40–46, n=86)64% (179–99, n=278)
Consensus PnL—$15K$475K$100K
Tracked asPM monthly #834was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #269Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (8 of 8 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (8 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topic———Elections ±0 pts, n=101
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)14% (won 33% of 6)30% (won 10% of 106)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)39% (won 88% of 17)6% (won 32% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)48% (won 95% of 21)6% (won 57% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)0%57% (won 98% of 203)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfbett89e4ygf6PatienceCapitalRockyZet
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $7.4K——No $4.1K