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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788iammillionairenigiri99Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)no settled market55% (392–321, n=713)68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$670K—$426K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #714PM monthly #107was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position46% (31 of 68 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%—69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)—14% (won 37% of 79)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)—24% (won 59% of 138)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)—43% (won 72% of 243)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)—19% (won 98% of 107)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788iammillionairenigiri99Zzzz87
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $99Mavericks $6.7K