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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | MegaMan-.- | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (16–14, n=30) | 54% (451–385, n=836) | 54% (19–16, n=35) |
| Consensus PnL | $586K | $355K | $2.4K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 63% (152 of 243 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 26% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 57% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | MegaMan-.- |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $53 | — | Gen.G $45K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $250K | — | Bilibili Gaming $9.7K |